Jamaican health and wellness ministry reports three storm-related deaths
The devastating impact of the hurricane has already being felt in Jamaica. The island’s health and wellness ministry reported on Monday evening that there had been three storm-related deaths “in preparation” for the hurricane.
The Jamaican ministry of health and wellness added in its post on X:
We urge the public to exercise extreme caution: activities such as climbing roofs, securing sandbags, or cutting trees may seem manageable, but even minor mistakes during hurricane conditions can result in serious injury or death.
Driving through flooded roads or areas with debris is also extremely hazardous. Health centres remain closed, but hospitals are open and attending to storm-related injuries. Please be wise, stay safe, and protect yourself and your family during this storm.
Key events
Dr Leanne Archer, research associate in climate extremes at the University of Bristol, describes why Hurricane Melissa is going to be such a powerful storm and outlines how the conditions have been “supercharged” by the human-induced climate crisis.
Archer said:
There has been a perfect storm of conditions leading to the colossal strength of Hurricane Melissa: a warm ocean which has fuelled its rapid intensification over the last few days, but it is also moving slowly, meaning more rain can fall whilst it moves across land.
Most of these conditions have been supercharged by the extra heat in our oceans and atmosphere due to climate change. A warmer ocean means more energy; more strength; and more moisture in the warmer atmosphere means more rain can fall with a higher intensity.
Jamaica experienced a devastating hurricane in 1903, but analysis of this event undertaken by climate scientists have shown that this same hurricane would have been more intense if it occurred now due to climate change.
This suggests Hurricane Melissa could be the most devastating hurricane to ever hit Jamaica, which will have been amplified by our heating planet.
Climate scientists are clear that a heating planet is likely to fuel hurricanes that lead to larger storm surges (due to higher sea levels); more intense rainfall; higher intensities and a larger number of events that become the most catastrophic (Category 4-5 events). Hurricane Melissa has all these aspects.
Hurricane Melissa could impact 1.5m people in Jamaica, Red Cross says
Hurricane Melissa could affect 1.5 million people in Jamaica alone, the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies said, warning of a “massive impact”.
“1.5 million people may be impacted,” Necephor Mghendi, the IFRC’s head of delegation for the English- and Dutch-speaking Caribbean, was quoted by the AFP news agency as having told reporters. Mghendi warned that this number could be “an underestimate”.
As a reminder, after Jamaica, Hurricane Melissa is expected to make landfall in eastern Cuba later today. Tropical storm conditions are forecast in Haiti this evening.
The Bahamas are set to experience hurricane conditions on Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions in the Turks and Caicos Islands forecast on Wednesday too.
Matthew Samuda, Jamaica’s water and environment minister, said he had more than 50 generators available to deploy after the hurricane, but warned people to set aside clean water and use it sparingly. “Every drop will count,” he said.
Parts of Jamaica could see rainfall of up to 40 inches and a “life-threatening storm surge”, according to the US National Hurricane Centre.
Although exact timings are unclear due to the shifting nature of the hurricane’s speed, Melissa is expected to make landfall on the island early on Tuesday. It has just gone past 5.10am in Kingston, Jamaica.
Colin Bogle, an adviser for Mercy Corps, an aid agency, based near Kingston, said most families are sheltering in place despite the government ordering evacuations in flood-prone communities.
“Many have never experienced anything like this before, and the uncertainty is frightening,” he said. “There is profound fear of losing homes and livelihoods, of injury, and of displacement.”
Jamaica’s prime minister, Andrew Holness, has said there are 850 shelters across the island, enough for more than 20,000 people.
Yvette Cooper, the British foreign secretary, said in a post on X that she had spoken to her Jamaican counterpart, Kamina Smith, to “offer our support” and was monitoring the path of Hurricane Melissa.
The UK government is advising people in Jamaica to continue to monitor weather updates, follow the guidance from local authorities and points to a list of available hurricane shelters for those in need.
Here is a live tracker view as Hurricane Melissa barrels northeast through the Caribbean Sea:
Tens of thousands of Jamaicans impacted by power outages over the past day
More than 52,000 customers in Jamaica have experienced power outages over the past day as Hurricane Melissa approaches the island, according to the Jamaica Public Service (JPS).
The JPS said its teams have restored power to more than 30,000 of those affected, but warned that heavy rain and difficult terrain are creating access challenges in some areas as the weather continues to deteriorate.
“We will continue to restore power in affected communities for as long as it is safe for our crews to work,” the JPS said in a statement posted to Facebook.
Hurricane Melissa thought to be the most powerful storm of the year so far
Hurricane Melissa is predicted to be the most powerful hurricane to hit Jamaica on record and is reported to be the strongest storm anywhere on Earth so far this year when measuring wind speeds and central pressure.
Its maximum sustained winds are 175 mph (282km/h), according to the National Hurricane Center, as of 2pm ET.
Melissa was upgraded to a category five – the maximum strength – by the US-based National Hurricane Center yesterday.
Category five is the highest on the Saffir-Simpson scale with sustained winds exceeding 157 mph (250km/h). The chief meteorologist at AccuWeather, Jonathan Porter, said Melissa would be the strongest hurricane in recorded history to hit Jamaica directly.
Jamaican health and wellness ministry reports three storm-related deaths
The devastating impact of the hurricane has already being felt in Jamaica. The island’s health and wellness ministry reported on Monday evening that there had been three storm-related deaths “in preparation” for the hurricane.
The Jamaican ministry of health and wellness added in its post on X:
We urge the public to exercise extreme caution: activities such as climbing roofs, securing sandbags, or cutting trees may seem manageable, but even minor mistakes during hurricane conditions can result in serious injury or death.
Driving through flooded roads or areas with debris is also extremely hazardous. Health centres remain closed, but hospitals are open and attending to storm-related injuries. Please be wise, stay safe, and protect yourself and your family during this storm.
Summary
It’s 2am in Jamaica and in case you’re just joining us, here’s a rundown on the latest news as Hurricane Melissa moves closer to making landfall in Jamaica.
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Jamaican officials called on the public to get to higher ground and shelters on Monday evening ahead of the category 5 hurricane, with prime minister Andrew Holness warning it could be a massively destructive storm – the island’s most violent on record.
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The storm was on track to make landfall in Jamaica on Tuesday, with forecasters saying it could cause catastrophic destruction from flooding, winds and landslides.
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The storm was set to go ashore in Cuba later on Tuesday and then head toward the Bahamas.
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Melissa has been blamed for seven deaths in the northern Caribbean as it moved towards Jamaica.
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The US National Hurricane Centre said the storm was “potentially catastrophic” and that “multiple life-threatening hazards” were in play in Jamaica. Among them was up to 13 feet (four metres) of storm surge inundation on parts of the south coast.
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Melissa was centred about 155 miles (245km) south-west of Kingston on Monday night local time. The system had maximum sustained winds of 175mph (280km/h) and was moving north-west at 2mph (4km/h), the US National Hurricane Centre said. At category 5 – the top of the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale – Melissa would be the strongest hurricane on record to hit Jamaica directly.
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Parts of eastern Jamaica could see up to 30 inches (76cm) of rain, the centre said, citing the likelihood of “catastrophic flash flooding and numerous landslides”.
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Mandatory evacuations were ordered in flood-prone communities in Jamaica but some people insisted on staying. Jamaican government officials said they were worried that fewer than 1,000 people were in the more than 130 shelters open across the island.
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Several towns on Jamaica’s southern coast reported power outages as winds picked up throughout the night.
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In eastern Cuba, a hurricane warning was in effect for the Granma, Santiago de Cuba, Guantánamo and Holguin provinces, while a tropical storm warning was in effect for Las Tunas. Up to 20 inches (51cm) of rain was forecast for parts of Cuba, along with a significant storm surge along the coast.
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Cuban officials said they would evacuate more than 600,000 people from the region, including Santiago, the island’s second-largest city.
With agencies
Mandatory evacuations have been ordered in flood-prone communities across Jamaica, with buses moving people to safe shelter, but as we’ve reported, some people have insisted on staying.
Local government minister Desmond McKenzie said on Monday evening that of the island’s 880-odd shelters standing by, only 133 were hosting locals.
They “should be seeing people now”, McKenzie said, adding:
I want to urge persons in these parishes to get to high ground as quickly as possible.
But despite the pleas to evacuate ahead of Hurricane Melissa’s forecast landfall on the island on Tuesday, many Jamaicans weren’t going.
“I am not moving. I don’t believe I can run from death,” Roy Brown told Agence France-Presse in Kingston’s seaside area of Port Royal.
The plumber and tiler said he was reluctant to flee because of his past experiences with the poor conditions of government hurricane shelters.
Fisher Jennifer Ramdial agreed, adding: “I just don’t want to leave.”
Jamaican prime minister Andrew Holness said at a press conference:
You have been warned. It’s now up to you to use that information to make the right decision.
On the ground Jamaicans are bracing for the approaching storm.
Ava Brown is in St Elizabeth, which is expected to be one of the worst-affected areas, and the author and publisher said that despite taking every possible precaution, she was scared.
“I am a single mom so I had one of my neighbours help me to batten down my windows. We had to move certain things away from the house,” she said.
I’m really scared. It’s scary because, for example, you worry about how to ration the food.
Natricia Duncan and Anthony Lugg also report from Jamaica that Jason Henzell, the chair of a hotel in the popular tourist destination Treasure Beach, said he decided to leave his St Elizabeth home and relocate his family to Kingston as he saw the effects of the storm.
Henzell said that despite his efforts to “lead by example” and encourage other residents to leave the area and seek shelter elsewhere, some have chosen to remain.
Jamaicans are very deep in their faith … So as a people we [tend] to think that we can pray something away. And for the most part, we have been spared. So there is a feeling as though the Lord is going to protect us. He’s going to take [the hurricane] into a different direction…
But you know … at some point, the luck is going to run out, the blessings are going to run out. And I just, I hope and pray this is not that day, but it is looking like it is that day.
Hurricane Melissa began as a cluster of thunderstorms off the coast of west Africa and travelled west and developed into a depression, reaching tropical storm status to the north of Venezuela a week ago.
Its rapid intensification over the weekend strengthened Melissa to category 4 as it slowly moved west through the Caribbean Sea, reaching category 5 intensity on Monday morning with sustained winds of 160mph (257km/h).
As Brendan Wood and Lauren Herdman report in our weather tracker, if the storm maintains its current strength it will make it the strongest of only five hurricanes ever recorded to hit Jamaica directly.
Melissa’s notably slow traversal – averaging barely 5mph (8km/h) in recent days and now at 2mph (4km/h) – will exacerbate the impact, with extremely high rainfall along its path. Totals of 200-400mm (8in-16in) are likely across Jamaica by Tuesday evening, rising to 1,000mm in places.
Similar amounts are expected in south-eastern Cuba from late Tuesday and into Wednesday.
In comparison, London and Paris receive about 650mm a year.
Here are some images showing the hurricane’s forecast path as it heads towards Jamaica from the south and the likelihood of it packing hurricane-force winds across a five-day forecast.
Melissa is currently reported as being centred about 150 miles (240km) south-west of Kingston and about 330 miles (530km) south-west of Guantánamo, Cuba.
The system had maximum sustained winds of 175 mph (280km/h) and was moving north-northeast at 2mph (4km/h), according to the US National Hurricane Centre in Miami.
Jamaican prime minister Andrew Holness said the country’s western end faced the worst destruction.
“I don’t believe there is any infrastructure within this region that could withstand a category 5 storm, so there could be significant dislocation,” he told CNN.
Landslides, fallen trees and numerous power outages have been reported in Jamaica ahead of Hurricane Melissa, with officials warning that the cleanup and damage assessment will be slow.
Forecasters said the storm was expected to make landfall early Tuesday and slice diagonally across the island, entering near St Elizabeth parish in the south and exiting around St Ann parish in the north.
Hours before the storm, the government said it had done all it could to prepare as it warned of catastrophic damage, the Associated Press is reporting
“There is no infrastructure in the region that can withstand a category 5,” said the prime minister, Andrew Holness.
The question now is the speed of recovery. That’s the challenge.
Amid the expectation of a life-threatening storm surge of up to four metres (13 feet) across southern Jamaica, officials are concerned about the impact on some hospitals along the coastline.
Health minister Christopher Tufton said some patients were relocated from the ground floor to the second floor, “and [we] hope that will suffice for any surge that will take place”.
The US National Hurricane Centre has again warned on social media that Melissa is “expected to bring catastrophic and life-threatening winds, flooding and storm surge” to Jamaica on Tuesday.
The director of the centre in Miami, Dr Michael Brennan, said earlier in a live update on Monday that with the storm centre forecast to reach Jamaica’s coast “sometime early Tuesday”, destructive winds were expected in Melissa’s eyewall as it made landfall and moved across the island.
He said:
So we could have complete damage, destruction of shelters, homes and buildings in the path of that eyewall, not just along the coast but in areas of high terrain across the central part of the island as the centre of Melissa moves across the island during the day on Tuesday …
Everyone in Jamaica needs to be in their safe place now to ride out the storm all the way through tomorrow.
We’re also very concerned about the potential for life-threatening storm surge inundation near and to the right of where the centre crosses the south coast early tomorrow, with the potential for nine to 13 feet [2.7 to 4 metres] of inundation.
Opening summary
Welcome to our live coverage of Hurricane Melissa as it moves closer to making landfall in Jamaica and threatens catastrophic destruction from flooding, winds and landslides. Here’s the latest as it as just passed 12 midnight in Kingston.
Jamaican officials called on the public to get to higher ground and shelters on Monday evening ahead of the category 5 hurricane, with the prime minister warning it could be a massively destructive storm – the island’s most violent on record.
The storm was on track to make landfall in Jamaica on Tuesday before coming ashore in Cuba later in the day and then heading toward the Bahamas. Melissa has been blamed for seven deaths in the northern Caribbean as it moved towards Jamaica.
The US National Hurricane Centre said Melissa was “potentially catastrophic” and that “multiple life-threatening hazards” were in play in Jamaica. Among them was up to 13 feet (four metres) of storm surge inundation on parts of the south coast.
Andrew Holness, the Jamaican prime minister, said as the storm neared: “I have been on my knees in prayer.”
In other key developments:
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Melissa was centred about 155 miles (245km) south-west of Kingston on Monday night local time. The system had maximum sustained winds of 175mph (280km/h) and was moving north-west at 2mph (4km/h), the US National Hurricane Centre said.
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At category 5 – the top of the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale – Melissa would be the strongest hurricane on record to hit Jamaica directly.
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Parts of eastern Jamaica could see up to 30 inches (76cm) of rain, the centre said, citing the likelihood of “catastrophic flash flooding and numerous landslides”.
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Mandatory evacuations were ordered in flood-prone communities in Jamaica, with buses ferrying people to safe shelter, although some people insisted on staying. Jamaican government officials said they were worried that fewer than 1,000 people were in the more than 130 shelters open across the island.
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Melissa has been blamed for seven deaths in the northern Caribbean as it headed towards Jamaica.
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In eastern Cuba, a hurricane warning was in effect for the Granma, Santiago de Cuba, Guantánamo and Holguin provinces, while a tropical storm warning was in effect for Las Tunas. Up to 20 inches (51cm) of rain was forecast for parts of Cuba, along with a significant storm surge along the coast.
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Cuban officials said they would evacuate more than 600,000 people from the region, including Santiago, the island’s second-largest city. Long bus lines formed in some areas.
With agencies
